Although grappling with challenges related to climate change; wide fiscal deficits and high public debt; as well as high unemployment, the Caribbean Development Bank (CDB) has projected that the region’s economy is expected to grow by two per cent this year.
CDB President Dr Warren Smith shared the Bank’s forecast at its annual news conference held in Barbados yesterday.
“Despite projections of deceleration in global economic activity, the 2019 economic outlook for our Borrowing Member Countries is positive. CDB is projecting that real GDP growth will be around two per cent as construction, tourism, and the extractive industries such as gold and oil are expected to expand,” Smith said.
The President outlined that the majority of the Bank’s Borrowing Members recorded economic growth averaging 1.9 per cent, compared with 0.5 per cent in 2017. He noted that the fastest-growing regional economies of 2018 were Antigua and Barbuda, Grenada, Guyana.
Grenada’s region-leading performance of 5.2 per cent continued a five-year positive trend as that country continues to experience the financial growth coming out of its home-grown economic reform programme.
Conversely, in his review, Smith noted that in Anguilla and the British Virgin Islands, the devastating 2017 hurricane season stymied economic growth as visitor arrivals declined sharply – by 40 per cent and 50 per cent respectively, due to extensive damage to hotel stock. A fall in construction activity as well as the impact of the fiscal consolidation led to economic contraction in Barbados, despite a modest increase in tourist arrivals.
In the face of these mixed fortunes, the President called for a dual strategy of resilience-building and transformation to accelerate growth in the region and to ensure that economic gains can be sustainable.
The Bank also signed an agreement with the Green Climate Fund which will facilitate more climate finance projects in the region.